Showing posts with label HSL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HSL. Show all posts

Friday, December 31, 2010

Outlook for 2011

It's the end of 2010 and most investors are discussing about 2011 outlook. Here's some of the report or news that I find interesting to share with you all:

i) Barrons bullish outlook on US market
   "Collectively, the 10 strategists and investment managers surveyed by Barron's see the S&P 500 finishing
    next year near 1373, roughly 10% higher than Friday's close at 1244"
    Full report here: Barrons 2011 Report
ii) 2011 Market Outlook: Rebound to Expansion
    "We believe the theme of transition from rebound to expansion is appropriate for the 2011 outlook 
     because we expect a transition year for both the economy and the financial markets.
     PNC projects that the U.S. economy as measured by real GDP will eclipse the previous peak set in
     2007 by the end of the first quarter of 2011 and move into expansion mode."

My view on Malaysia stock market:
i) Bullish on CPO counters due to expected higher oil price. Counters to watch: Companies which have prepared well for this commodity cycle include CBIP. The company originally build palm oil mills but have planted palm oil several years ago. Expect to see the earnings from plantation to be bigger in the coming quarterly result. Will write on CBIP fully later.
ii) Bullish on Sarawak counters due to expected election in 2011. Counters to watch are construction players in Sarawaj e.g. HSL and NAIM. Catalysts will be the possible new construction contract announcement. Will write on NAIM later.
iii) Neutral on F&B counters due to higher CPO, sugar price and pressure from higher labour cost. Counters that I like within F&B sector: CIHLDG and MAMEE. However, the key catalysts will be their ability to transfer the inflation cost to consumer. Will write on MAMEE later.

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Today's outlook 21-Dec-2010

Overnight, US market ended flat with DJIA down 13.78p to 11478.13p while S&P gained 3.17p to 1247.08p.

Here are some of the news that may have affected US market:
i) American Express fell 3.4% as new rules by Fed Reserve could limit merchant fees of the Company.
ii) Increase in Amazon.com after analysts upgraded their estimates and ratings.

iii) Rebound in oil price provide support for energy stocks
My view:
Only the rebound of oil price news is something that I think could affect Malaysia market. Oil and gas counters are expected to continue to be in the limelight. From historical PER viewpoint, KNM seems to be the most attractive O&G stock. Also, I believe that North Korea is unlikely to attack South Korea. Overall, today should be slightly bullish for KLCI as investors are likely to return to search for better yields and growth in the equity market.
 
Stocks that I STILL find attractive:

1. CRESNDO (Pure proxy to Iskandar investment theme, paid 7 sen dividend in the past 5 Financial Years, undemanding Price/NTA of 0.47x only, got potential to go up to RM2.55)
2. AXIATA (Growth to come from Indonesia market, with stability in Malaysia Celcom, maiden dividend payout in 2011 should be a major rerating catalyst for this stock, average consensus Target Price RM5.28)
3. HSL (Proxy to Sarawak election theme play, strong balance sheet with net cash position, upside potential will be the announcement of any future projects won, average consensus Target Price RM2.17)